The Wisconsin Department of Administration expects you will have fewer neighbors in the future based on its neighbor. In its recently released report, the department suggests that the state will have a net loss of residents over the next 25 years. The state’s total fertility rate has fluctuated between 1.6 and 1.9 since 1975, suggesting that families are having fewer kids. The state’s population is expected to be around 5.71 million in 2050, down from its 2020 high of 5.893 million people. That means that the population could continue to drop without more people moving to the state.

Closer to home, Door County’s growth is slowing after the population increased by eight percent between 2010 and 2020. That growth goes down to two percent between 2020 and 2030 and starts going in the opposite direction. According to the data, Door County will see a two percent population drop between 2030 and 2040 and four percent between 2040 and 2050. The population shift is a little more dire in Kewaunee County, one of more than a half dozen to experience no growth between 2010 and 2020. It is expected to drop by four percent by 2030, five percent between 2030 and 2040, and another seven percent between 2040 and 2050.

Only a handful of counties, including Brown, Dane, and Trempealeau counties, are expected to grow over the next 25 years. By 2040, more than a dozen counties could experience double-digit percentage drops in population. You can read the full report here.